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Summary

Details

Caselist.CitesClass[245]
Cites
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1 -====And- Senate leadership will pass trade reform legislation====
2 -**Marans '17** (Daniel Marans, "Democrats Add Trade Reforms To Their New Economic Agenda", https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/democrats-trade-reforms-a-better-deal_us_59822239e4b0353fbb347fa1, August 2, 2017)
3 -It's an attempt to steal the high ground from the trade hawk in chief.
4 -AND
5 -to producing real change that will grow manufacturing jobs in the United States."
6 -
7 -
8 -====Trump ensures widespread aggressive proliferation====
9 -**CAP '18** (Center for American Progress National Security and International Policy Team, "Trump's National Security and Foreign Policy Failures: Year One", https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/security/news/2018/01/17/445109/trumps-national-security-foreign-policy-failures-year-one/, January17, 2018)
10 -Failing to address the nuclear threat From undermining the Iran deal to encouraging an East
11 -AND
12 -authorization bill that could violate the 1987 Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty.
13 -
14 -
15 -====Impact magnifiers-====
16 -
17 -
18 -====North Korea war causes extinction====
19 -**Hayes and Green '9** (Peter Hayes, & Michael Hamel-Green, 2009 (Honorary Professor, Center for International Security Studies & professor in social sciences in the College of Arts at Victoria University Melbourne) The Path Not Taken, The Way Still Open: Denuclearizing The Korean Peninsula And Northeast Asia, Dec. 14, 2009. Retrieved Apr. 24, 2016 from http://apjjf.org/-Peter-Hayes/3267/article.html)
20 -The consequences of failing to address the proliferation threat posed by the North Korea developments
21 -AND
22 -threat but a global one that warrants priority consideration from the international community.
23 -
24 -
25 -====South China Sea war goes nuclear:====
26 -Polina **Tikhonova, 2015** (Master's Degree in English Philology from the University of Oxford), US Faces Nuclear War Threat Over South China Sea – Chinese Professor, Nov. 28, 2015. Retrieved Apr. 28, 2016 from http://www.valuewalk.com/2015/11/us-nuclear-war-south-china-sea/
27 -U.S. could provoke nuclear war with China And while the U.
28 -AND
29 -would ultimately harm U.S. interests, according to the professor.
30 -
31 -
32 -==UQ==
33 -
34 -
35 -===AT: Reps Win ===
36 -
37 -
38 -====Their ev concludes dems win the house ====
39 -***AFF CARD* ~~SAMFORD=BLUE~~ Podhoretz, 10-11**
40 -(John Podhoretz, reporter for the New York Post, 10-11-2018, "The Democrats' 'blue wave' is drying up," New York Post, https://nypost.com/2018/10/11/the-democrats-blue-wave-is-drying-up/) MWE
41 -Don't count your elections before they've hatched. That's the lesson of the past couple
42 -AND
43 -impossible. A few weeks ago it was. No wonder everybody's confused.
44 -
45 -
46 -====Dems will take the Senate====
47 -**Elbaum 10/10** (Rachel Elbaum, "Biden predicts Dems will win 40 House seats, take back Senate", https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/biden-predicts-dems-will-win-40-house-seats-take-back-n918596, October 10, 2018)
48 -Trump is the only president "who when things are going very well for the
49 -AND
50 -candidates and visited every state where there's a Senate seat up for grabs.
51 -
52 -
53 -====Grassroots turnout key to Dem senate victory- turnout key====
54 -**Bowman 10/11** (Bridget Bowman, "Democratic Activists Could Tip the Scale in Close Races — But Then What?", https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/democratic-activists-midterms, October 11, 2018)
55 -Grassroots groups have been organizing on the ground for nearly two years. Protesters wave
56 -AND
57 -All You Ever Wanted to Know About Health Care Ahead of the 2018 Midterms
58 -
59 -
60 -===Dems Win House===
61 -
62 -
63 -====Dems crush in the House====
64 -**Pramuk 10/12** (Jacob Pramuk, CNBC, "GOP's grip on the Senate tightens even as Democrats threaten to take the House", https://www.cnbc.com/2018/10/12/gop-grip-on-senate-tightens-even-as-democrats-threaten-to-take-house.html, October 12, 2018)
65 -Democrats have about an 8-point edge on an average of recent generic ballots
66 -AND
67 -that the site lists as toss-ups or "lean" Republican.
68 -
69 -
70 -===AT: Other Factors ===
71 -
72 -
73 -====Their ev concludes that the other factors only make the race tigher, which is UQ for us—thanks!====
74 -****2AC CARD SAMFORD=BLUE**Leonhardt, 10-12**
75 -(David Leonhardt, opinion columnist at the New York Times and studied applied mathematics at Yale 10-12-2018, "Opinion," No Publication, ACCESSED 10/12/2018, https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/12/opinion/midterm-elections-democrats-republicans-trump.html) MWE
76 -It's time for some alarm about the midterms. The most recent polls have underscored
77 -AND
78 -the 2018 midterms, and I'm genuinely worried about the consequences of that.
79 -
80 -
81 -==Link ==
82 -
83 -
84 -====Two additional links====
85 -
86 -
87 -====First- Republican government need a win before midterms- the aff gives them a talking point- they will spin anything====
88 -**Hawkings '18** (David Hawkings, Roll Call senior editor David Hawkings has been covering Congress for three decades, "Republicans Need Another Legislative Success to Avoid Midterm Woes", https://www.rollcall.com/news/hawkings/republican-leadership-midterms-omnibus, March 28, 2018)
89 -Republicans Need Another Legislative Success to Avoid Midterm Woes Realistic expectations a plus in politically
90 -AND
91 -actually be applied as a force for GOP good in the coming instance.
92 -
93 -
94 -====Second- checks and balances link- aff quells unrest====
95 -**Page and Icsman '18 **(Susan Page and Marilyn Icsman, USA Today, https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2018/03/01/voters-vow-elect-congress-stands-up-trump-poll-shows/376578002/, March 1, 2018)
96 -Voters vow to elect a Congress that stands up to Trump, poll shows WASHINGTON
97 -AND
98 -polls. Turnout traditionally is lower in midterm elections than in presidential years.
99 -
100 -
101 -===Texas Module===
102 -
103 -
104 -====And Texas Module- ====
105 -
106 -
107 -====And tarrifs are the key issue that will flip Texas blue- removing Ted Cruz is an apriori ethical impact====
108 -**Benning '18** (Tom Benning, Washington Bureau, "Trump's push to revamp NAFTA stokes 'unease' in Texas as negotiations drag on", https://www.dallasnews.com/business/trade/2018/05/30/texas-lawmakers-grow-anxious-naftas-fate-negotiations-drag, May 30, 2018)
109 -WASHINGTON — Texans in Congress are growing ever more anxious over the fate of the
110 -AND
111 -don't understand the damage that they are doing to us," he said.
112 -
113 -
114 -===—-Texas Link===
115 -
116 -
117 -====Beto in Texas is using tariffs to embolden blue turn out- removing Ted Cruz is an a priori ethical voting issue====
118 -**Hawes '18** (Trevor Hawes, MRT, "O'Rourke: Trump's trade wars will hurt energy industry", https://www.mrt.com/news/politics/article/O-Rourke-Trump-s-trade-wars-will-hurt-energy-12815219.php, April 7, 2018)
119 -The nation is currently renegotiating the North America Free Trade Agreement, which could threaten
120 -AND
121 -jobs and economic growth. That's what I want to do for Texas."
122 -
123 -
124 -===Tennessee Module===
125 -
126 -
127 -====And- Tennessee Module====
128 -
129 -
130 -====Trump trade policies will flip Tennessee blue- turn farming and business lobbies====
131 -**Mattise and Peoples 7/11** (Jonathan Mattise and Steven Peoples, Tennessean, "In Tennessee, Trump's tariffs, trade wars become an election-year political issues", https://www.tennessean.com/story/news/2018/07/09/tariffs-blackburn-bredesen-tennessee-senate-trump/768486002/, July 11, 2018)
132 -NASHVILLE – Jimmy Tosh's sprawling hog farm in rural Tennessee is an unlikely battleground in
133 -AND
134 -back some plans that we had, at least put them on hold."
135 -
136 -
137 -==AT: No Impeachment debate ==
138 -
139 -
140 -====Democratic control of the Senate key to impeach Trump:====
141 -Richard North **Patterson, 9/24**/20**18** (staff writer, "The existential stakes in the midterm elections," https://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/2018/09/24/the-existential-stakes-midterm-elections/h0pIU1zE5dAat7jDCcfpDJ/story.html, Retrieved 9/29/2018, rwg)
142 -But suppose Democrats retake the House. This would transform the Oversight and Government Reform
143 -AND
144 -Senate might push impeachment until invertebrate Republicans see Mike Pence as their salvation.
EntryDate
... ... @@ -1,1 +1,0 @@
1 -2018-11-06 02:51:26.0
Judge
... ... @@ -1,1 +1,0 @@
1 -Rob Wimberly, Danielle OGorman, David Cram Helwhich
Opponent
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1 -Liberty AG
ParentRound
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1 -30
Round
... ... @@ -1,1 +1,0 @@
1 -Quarters
Team
... ... @@ -1,1 +1,0 @@
1 -Samford Windus-Emerson Neg
Title
... ... @@ -1,1 +1,0 @@
1 -Mary Wash Quarters - 1NR - Midterms
Tournament
... ... @@ -1,1 +1,0 @@
1 -Mary Washington

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